Avis d’appel d’offre pour les priorités pour une croissance durable, inclusive et transformatrice en Éthiopie

REQUEST FOR EXPRESSION OF INTEREST

FOR INDIVIDUAL CONSULTANTS

AFRICAN DEVELOPMENT BANK

Ethiopia Country Office

P.O. Box 25543 Code 1000

Addis Ababa, Ethiopia,

Email : [email protected]

Tel : +251 115 177268

Fax : +251 115 546335

1. The African Development Bank hereby invites individual consultants to indicate their interest in the following assignment: ‘Growth model and priorities for sustainable, inclusive and transformative growth in Ethiopia’. Over the last 15 years, Ethiopia’s economy has expanded at rates exceeding 10 percent annually and poverty declined from about 28 percent in 2011 to 23.5 percent in 2016. Structural transformation is occurring, albeit at a slow pace. However, inequality is noted to be raising and emerging macroeconomic imbalances and structural bottlenecks are putting a break on the high rates of growth as well as its inclusivity ;

2. During 2019-2020, the African Development Bank prepared at least four studies on economic growth and transformation, poverty reduction and inequality, private sector contribution to the economy, and issues in economic and social governance to generate detailed information on the trends in economic growth, and economic transformation, poverty reduction and inequality, private sector contribution to the economy, and issues in economic and social governance. The studies underscore an array of issues that require attention ;

3. The purpose of the assignment is to undertake a systematic diagnostic analysis of Ethiopia’s growth process over the last 40-50 years to bring together the findings and key recommendations from the existing reports as well as other available information to identify the key enablers and binding constraints to inclusive growth and transformation. and what needs to be done in the medium term to promote sustainable and inclusive growth and transformation. The proposed work will use the existing reports as well as additional sources of data and analysis to provide a succinct story of Ethiopia’s growth and transformation over the last 40-50 years. It will involve diagnostics of the long-term growth trends, a synthesis of the binding constraints to growth and emerging challenges to consolidate the findings and recommendations of the four reports ;

4. The services to be provided under the assignment include :

• Undertake a systematic diagnostic analysis of Ethiopia’s growth and structural transformation process over the last 40-50 years, and what needs to be done in the medium term to promote inclusive growth. The assignment will involve a synthesis of key issues in economic growth, inclusivity and social development as well as the binding constraints to future growth. Specifically, the work will involve synthesis of i) trends in economic growth and structural transformation; ii) private sector growth and emerging issues; iii) human capital development, including the status and quality of education, health care and social protection, iv) trends in economic and social governance; and v) employment trends and skills match, especially among the youth and women ;
• Examine the  relationships  between  economic  growth  and  trends  in  poverty  and inequality, human capital development, economic and social governance and labor-market dynamics, including trends in employment and skills match; identify the key drivers and enablers of that growth and the binding constraints in order to inform policy options over the medium- and long-term ;
• Propose a new growth model/ strategy that Ethiopia needs to take in order to absorb new labour market entrants; identify the impact of improving the quality of human capital, innovation and higher value-added production in new and existing tradable sectors and integration into global value chains. The model will help to identify new sources of growth and growth potential; the priority areas for public investment and corresponding policy options with the largest potential for promoting inclusive growth, reducing poverty, income inequality and expanding job creation; how to sustain ongoing reforms to develop a level playing field; and quantify the impact of unlocking the constraints to growth/ economic diversification/ transformation ;
• Run quantitative assessments and simulation experiments of the proposed growth model to examine the impacts of the proposed growth strategies on Ethiopia’s capacity to promote inclusion, transformation and absorb new entrants in the labour market and sustainably reduce unemployment ;
• The assignment is expected to be completed within five months, starting on 15^th December 2020 and be completed by 31^st May 2021. The consultant will need to commit effort equivalent to three person months. The consultant may work from any location and two missions are expected to gather data and to present the findings of the analysis.

5. The African Development Bank Ethiopia Country Office invites individual consultants to indicate their interest in providing the above-described services. Interested Consultants shall provide information on their qualifications and experience demonstrating their ability to undertake this Assignment (documents, reference to similar services, experience in similar assignments, etc.) ;

6. The eligibility criteria, the establishment of a short list and the selection procedure shall be in conformity with the Bank’s Procurement Policy Framework under projects financed by the Bank Group, October 2015 Edition, available on the Bank Website at http://www.afdb.org. Please, note that interest expressed by a Consultant does not imply any obligation on the part of the Bank to include him/her in the shortlist ;

7. The estimated duration of the services is three person months, with expected start date of 15^th December 2020 ;

8. Interested individual consultants may obtain further information at the address below during Bank’s working hours: 8am – 5pm ;

9. Expressions of interest must be received at the address below no later than 26^th November 2020 at 6am GMT and specifically mentioning Priorities for sustainable, inclusive, and transformative growth in Ethiopia.

For the attention of: Ms. Netsanet Hussen

African Development Bank

Ethiopia Country Office,

P.O. Box 25543 Code 1000

Addis Ababa

Ethiopia,

Tel : +251 115 177268

Fax : +251 115 546335

Email : [email protected] ;  [email protected]